The National Occupancy Rate #
US nursing homes were 80.5% full on an average day, by our calculation from the August 2026 Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services provider file: 1,258,146 residents per day in 1,563,603 certified beds.
Put the other way, roughly one certified bed in five sits empty on a typical day. For an industry whose costs are largely fixed by the building and the staffing it requires, that empty fifth is the difference between a viable home and a struggling one.
The Typical Home Runs Fuller Than the National Rate #
The median home is fuller than the national figure, at 85.7%. The national rate is pulled down by a tail of homes running well below capacity, about one in nine is less than 60% full, and by larger homes, which run slightly emptier than small ones.
That distinction matters when benchmarking. Compare a home against the median, not the national rate, or a home that is merely ordinary will look better than it is.
The two figures answer different questions. The national rate describes the industry as a system: how much of the country's certified capacity is in use. The median describes the typical operator. A buyer valuing one home wants the second; a state planning capacity wants the first.
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What Counts as a Nursing Home #
Nursing Care Facilities, Skilled Nursing Facilities (NAICS 623110) comprises establishments primarily engaged in providing inpatient nursing and rehabilitative services, generally for an extended period, to individuals requiring nursing care. Census sets one defining test: these establishments have a permanent core staff of registered or licensed practical nurses who, with other staff, provide nursing and continuous personal care.
That test, permanent licensed nursing staff on site, is what separates this industry from the ones next to it, and the separation is not obvious from the signage. Census places convalescent homes, rest homes with nursing care and inpatient hospices inside this industry. It also places assisted living facilities for the elderly inside it, but only where nursing care is provided.
Residential facilities serving people with intellectual, developmental or mental health disabilities are classified elsewhere again, even where some nursing is present, because the primary purpose of the establishment differs from medical nursing care.
Why the Two Federal Counts Disagree #
Two federal programs count nursing homes and neither is wrong. Census County Business Patterns records 18,126 nursing care facilities with paid employees (Census CBP, 2023). The CMS provider file used on this page lists 14,690 certified homes as of August 2026.
Neither count is wrong, and the gap between them is definitional. CMS lists homes certified to take part in Medicare or Medicaid, because certification is what brings a home inside the federal quality-reporting system that produces the occupancy and staffing data. A home that accepts only private payers is outside that system and is not in the file.
Census counts establishments, meaning physical locations with payroll classified to the industry, whether or not they take a federal program. A campus operating a nursing building and a separate assisted living building may be counted as more than one establishment, and each is classified by what it primarily does.
The practical rule follows from that. Use the CMS file for anything about care, staffing or occupancy, because it covers the homes that report those measures. Use the Census record for anything about the size and geography of the industry as a business, because it covers the whole of it.
How We Calculated It #
For each certified home, CMS reports the number of certified beds and the average number of residents per day. The national rate divides total residents by total beds across the 14,628 homes that report both. The median is taken across homes, each counted once.
The middle half of homes run between 72.7% and 92.7% occupancy. A home inside that band is ordinary; one below it is carrying a meaningful share of empty capacity.
Three limits travel with the measure and they are the source's own. It is built on certified beds rather than licensed or staffed beds, so a home that has taken a wing out of service still carries those beds in the denominator. It is an average daily census over a reporting period, not a point-in-time count, which smooths short stays. And it covers only certified homes, so the private-pay end of the industry is absent by construction.
Government Homes Run Emptier #
Government-run homes run noticeably emptier than for-profit and non-profit homes, which sit close to each other and close to the national rate, by our calculation from the same file.
Public homes are often the provider of last resort in their area, which can mean holding capacity a private operator would close. Lower occupancy there may reflect a different mission as much as weaker demand.
Ownership is recorded in the same CMS file, so the split is measured rather than inferred. It does not explain itself: a public home may be emptier because of where it is, what it charges, who it admits, or a deliberate decision to keep beds available. The figure establishes the pattern and leaves the cause open.
What Occupancy Means for a Home's Economics #
A nursing home's costs are set mostly by its licensed beds and the staffing rules that come with them, while its revenue arrives per resident per day. Each empty bed carries its share of fixed cost with nothing coming in against it.
That is why occupancy and staff turnover are the two operating numbers that decide most outcomes in this industry: one sets revenue against a fixed base, the other drives the largest variable cost.
The relationship is not linear either. Below a certain census a home still has to run a full nursing shift, so the marginal empty bed costs the operator almost its full share of overhead. Above that point each additional resident arrives against a cost base that has already been paid for, which is why occupancy improvements compound in a way that rate increases do not.
Anyone planning to open or buy capacity should read this alongside the economics of the adjacent industries, since the boundary described above also decides which staffing rules apply. Our guide to starting an assisted living facility covers the neighbouring case.
Benchmarking a Home Against the Industry #
Each certified home's beds and average census are published by CMS, so an operator or buyer can place any home against the national median directly, measured the same way.
The industry around it is Census territory: 18,126 nursing care facilities with paid employees (Census CBP, 2023). That count frames local competitive density, which is the question a single home's occupancy cannot answer.
| Benchmark | On this page | In the report |
|---|---|---|
| Occupancy and staff turnover rates, from CMS | Yes | Discussed, not measured |
| Facilities and employment, national | Yes | Yes |
| Facilities and employment by state | No | Yes |
| Industry receipts and five-year forecast | No | Yes |
| Market concentration | No | Yes |
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